In Review
Matthews, B., Nicholls, R. J., Smith, A., Robson, C., Butters, O., Jenkins, K., Kennedy-Asser, A. T., Andrews, O., Dawson, R. J., Ford, A., He, Y., Smith, B., Warren, R., Price, J., Minns, A., and Sayers, P.: A modelling framework for national climate risk assessment. Environ. Model. Softw. Submitted.
McPartland, M. Y., Lovato, T., Koven, C. D., Wilson, J. D., Turner, B., Petrik, C. M., Licón-Saláiz, J., Li, F., Lhardy, F., Kinney, J. C., Kawamiya, M., Hassler, B., Gillett, N. P., Fall, C. M. N., Danek, C., Brierley, C. M., Bastos, A., and Andrews, O.: CMIP7 Data Request: Earth System Priorities and Opportunities. Geosci. Model Dev. Submitted.
Maia Pacheco, M., Andrews, O., Frenger, I., Dunne, J., Queste, B., and Monteiro, F.: The role of ocean model resolution in simulating marine biogeochemical extremes. Nat. Commun. Submitted.
Published
Kennedy-Asser, A.T., Andrews, O., Montgomery, J., Jenkins, K.L., Smith, B.A., Lewis, E., Birkinshaw, S.J., He, H., Pywell, R.F., Brown, M.J. and Redhead, J.W.: The role of local knowledge in enhancing climate change risk assessments in rural Northern Ireland.
Clim. Risk Manag., p.100702,
2025.
Mitchell, D., Lo, Y.E., Ball, E., Godwin, J.L., Andrews, O., Barciela, R., Ford, L.B., Di Napoli, C., Ebi, K.L., Fučkar, N.S. and Gasparrini, A.: Expert judgement reveals current and emerging UK climate-mortality burden.
Lancet Planet. Health, 8(9), pp. e684-e694,
2024.
Mackay, N., Sohail, T., Zika, J. D., Williams, R. G., Andrews, O., and Watson, A. J.: An optimal transformation method applied to diagnose the ocean carbon budget.
Geosci. Model Dev., 17(15), 5987-6005,
2024.
Warren, R., Price, J., Forstenhäusler, N., Andrews, O., Brown, S., Ebi, K., Gernaat, D., Goodwin, P., Guan, D., He, Y. and Manful, D.: Risks associated with global warming of 1.5 to 4° C above pre-industrial levels in human and natural systems in six countries.
Clim. Change, 177,
2024.
Zheng, Q, Bingham, R and Andrews, O.: Using Sea Level to Determine the Strength, Structure and Variability of the Cape Horn Current.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2023GL105033,
2023.
Jenkins, K., Kennedy-Asser, A., Andrews, O., and Lo, E.: Updated projections of UK heat-related mortality using policy-relevant global warming levels and socio-economic scenarios.
Environ. Res. Lett.,
2022.
Wilson, J., Andrews, O. et al. (12): The Biological Carbon Pump in CMIP6 models: 21st century trends and uncertainties.
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A, 119, e2204369119,
2022.
Atkins, J., Andrews, O., and Frenger, I.: Quantifying the Contribution of Ocean Mesoscale Eddies to Low Oxygen Extreme Events.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL098672,
2022.
Thompson, V., Kennedy-Asser, A., Vosper, E., Lo, E., Huntingford, C., Andrews, O., Collins, M., Hegerl, G., and Mitchell, D.: The 2021 western North America heatwave amongst the most extreme events ever recorded globally.
Sci. Adv., 8, eabm6860,
2022.
Warren, R., Andrews, O., et al. (11): Quantifying risks avoided by limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2°C above pre-industrial levels.
Clim. Change, 172,
2022.
Mitchell, D., Stone, E., Andrews, O. et al. (11): The Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon.
Weather,
2022.
Kennedy-Asser, A, Owen, G., Griffith, G., Andrews, O., Lo, E., Mitchell, D., Jenkins, K., and Warren, R.: Projected risks associated with heat stress in the UK Climate Projections (UKCP18).
Environ. Res. Lett., 17, 034024,
2022.
Kennedy-Asser, A., Andrews, O., Mitchell, D., and Warren, R.: Evaluating heat extremes in the UK Climate Projections (UKCP18).
Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 014039,
2021.
Hopkins, F., Suntharalingham, P., Gehlen, M., Andrews, O. et al. (20): The impacts of ocean acidification on marine trace gases and implications for atmospheric chemistry and climate.
Proc. R. Soc. A., 476, 2237,
2020.
DeVries, T., Le Quéré, C., Andrews, O., Berthet, S., Hauck, J., Ilyina, T., Landschützer, P, Lenton, A., Lima, I., Nowicki, M., Schwinger, J., and Séférian, R.: Decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink.
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A, 116,
2019.
Andrews, O., Le Quéré, C., Kjellstrom, T., Lemke, B., and Haines, A.: Implications for workability and survivability in populations exposed to extreme heat under climate change: a modelling study.
Lancet Planet. Health, 2, e540-47,
2018.
Turney, C., Palmer, J., Maslin, M., Hogg, A., Fogwill, C., Southon, J., Fenwick, P., Bronk-Ramsey, C., Thomas, Z., Lipson, M., Beaven, B., Jones, R., Andrews, O., and Hua, Q.: Global peak in atmospheric radiocarbon defines the onset of the Anthropocene Epoch in 1965.
Sci. Rep., 8,
2018.
Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R. M., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Manning, A. C., Korsbakken, J. I., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Jackson, R. B., Boden, T. A., Tans, P. P., Andrews, O. et al. (64): Global Carbon Budget 2017.
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 405-448,
2018.
Andrews, O., Buitenhuis, E., Le Quéré, C. and Suntharalingam, P: Biogeochemical modelling of dissolved oxygen in a changing ocean.
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 375,
2017.
Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R. M., Canadell, J. G., Sitch, S., Korsbakken, J. I., Peters, G. P., Manning, A. C., Boden, T. A., Tans, P. P., Houghton, R. A., Keeling, R. F., Alin, S., Andrews, O. et al. (54): Global Carbon Budget 2016.
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 8, 605 – 649,
2016.
Eyring, V., Righi, M., Lauer, A., Evaldsson, M., Wenzel, S., Jones, C., Anav, A., Andrews, O. et al. (27): ESMValTool (v1.0) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP.
Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1747-1802,
2016.
Andrews, O. D., Bindoff, N. L., Halloran, P. R., Ilyina, T., and Le Quéré, C.: Detecting an external influence on recent changes in oceanic oxygen using an optimal fingerprinting method.
Biogeosciences, 10, 1799-1813,
2013.
Andrews, O. D., Contributing Author in: Ciais, P. et al. (14 LAs, 3 RAs): Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles, in: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of WG I to IPCC AR5, edited by: Stocker, T., et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA,
2013.